Projections of cancer incidence and mortality
The absolute number of cancer cases has increased
continuously during the last decades in Austria. This trend will also
continue in the near future based on the ageing of the population as
cancer is primarily a disease of the elderly. The number of people aged
65 and older will increase strongly from 1.57 million in 2014 to 2.17
million in 2030
For both, men and women, the projections up to 2030
are not that different. However, for lung cancer a strong decrease
in incidence and mortality will be seen for men while these trends will
further increase for women in the future. To exclude the influence of
age, age-standardised incidence rates
were calculated. The projections show that the age-standardised incidence
rate will decrease from 275 cases per
A detalied methodological description of the prediction
of cancer incidence and cancer mortality up to 2030 was published in
the scientific journal “Demographic Research”: Klotz, J., Hackl,
M., Schwab, M., Hanika, A., and Haluza, D. (2019): „Combining population
projections with quasi-likelihood models: A new way to predict cancer
incidence and cancer mortality in Austria up to 2030“. Demographic
Research, Volume 40, Article 19, pp. 503
Please consult our German website for tables and charts containing further information.
| Results (overview): Trends and Projections of Cancer Incidence and Mortality |  |  |  |
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