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Population forecasts

Austrian population will increase towards 9 million inhabitants during the next 20 years

Austria had a population of 8.34 million in 2008, the reference year for the new population projection. According to the assumptions for fertility, mortality and migration by STATISTICS AUSTRIA, the total population will increase to 9.05 million people (+8.5 per cent) until 2030 and to 9.47 million (+13.6 per cent) in 2050.

According to the medium projection scenario of STATISTICS AUSTRIA, the population development will vary substantially among the nine provinces during the next decades. Vienna, the capital of Austria (+22 per cent), and Lower Austria (+21 per cent) are expected to have the most marked population growth until 2050, followed by Burgenland and Vorarlberg (+15 per cent), Tyrol (+12 per cent), Upper Austria (+10 per cent), Salzburg (+8 per cent) and Styria (+5 per cent). Carinthia is the only province being expected to loose some population to 2050 (-1 per cent).

Population growth will be accompanied by ageing

Children and youngsters under 15 years are projected to account for a slightly smaller proportion of the total population, namely 13 per cent in 2050 as compared to 15 per cent in 2008. The majority of the provinces will follow this trend, except Vienna, where rising proportions are expected. As the “baby-boom generation” (those born between 1955 and 1970) will reach the retirement age after 2015, the size of the elderly population (ages 60 and over) is projected to increase in all of the nine provinces. Thus for Austria as a whole, the proportion of the elderly population will grow from 23 per cent in 2008 to 34 per cent by 2050. By then, Burgenland and Carinthia (each 39 per cent) and Styria (37 per cent) are expected to remain the “oldest” regions while the western part of Austria (Tyrol and Vorarlberg) as well as Vienna will still rank as the “youngest” regions. Vienna will hold a share of 29 per cent elderly people by 2050. The average age of Austria’s population will significantly increase over the next decades from 41.1 (2008) to 46.8 years (2050).

Please consult our German website for tables and charts containing further information.

Table(s):
Results (overview): AustriaHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): BurgenlandHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): CarinthiaHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): Lower AustriaHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): Upper AustriaHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): SalzburgHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): StyriaHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): TyrolHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): VorarlbergHTMLPDFXLS
Results (overview): ViennaHTMLPDFXLS